The call ▲ UP
SPY outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-21 04:32 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — SPY +0.7% vs QQQ +1.3% — SPY trailed QQQ by 0.6%