The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-20 23:31 · graded in public
Right · score 88%
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA closes flat-to-down relative to SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade88%
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- HY Credit Spread: 2.73 percentage points (273 bps) (as of 2026-07-17)
- 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.25% (as of 2026-07-20)
- Kimi Work
- Airport Simulator
Correct — NVDA +4.3% vs SPY +0.7% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.6%