The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-20 19:31 · graded in public
Right · score 89%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY's price move over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade89%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +4.4% vs SPY +0.6% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.8%