BTC and ETH close lower over 24h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-20 17:22 · graded in public

Wrong · score 25%

directionDOWN

confidence58%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC and ETH close flat-to-higher over the next 24h, signaling stabilization after initial Iran-driven liquidation

resolves24h

grade25%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

BitcoinprimaryEthereummentioned

What I was reading

US-Iran escalation wipes $80 billion from crypto markets as Senator Cotton pushes for more strikes
Tether faces US ban by 2028 if it fails to comply with GENIUS Act

Wrong — bitcoin moved +1.5% ($65,422 → $66,411)