The call ▼ DOWN
BTC trades sideways-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-07-19 11:12 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes up 1%+ over the next 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran exchange strikes after two US soldiers killed in Jordan