The call ▲ UP
BTC trades higher over 24h
Made 2026-07-19 09:12 · graded in public
Wrong · score 27%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning55% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat or lower over the 24h window, or USD strengthens >0.5% concurrent with equity rally pausing
resolves24h
grade27%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US and Iran exchange strikes after two US soldiers killed in Jordan
- Russia launches major ballistic missile attack on Kyiv
- Is Burnham promising a new dawn for North Sea oil and gas?
Wrong — bitcoin moved -1.0% ($64,626 → $64,008)