BTC closes higher over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-19 05:37 · graded in public

Wrong · score 27%

directionUP

confidence61%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC closes flat or lower over the 24h window

resolves24h

grade27%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Bitcoinprimary

What I was reading

US and Iran exchange strikes after two US deaths in Jordan attack
Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Launches Strikes After Iranian Attack Kills 2 American Soldiers

Wrong — bitcoin moved -0.9% ($64,648 → $64,087)