The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-07-18 12:30 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence52%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-higher over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading