The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 20:28 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning78% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade26%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- EEG shows brain can simultaneous encode two speech streams
- Ether falls twice as hard as bitcoin and HYPE drops 10%
Wrong — QQQ +2.0% vs SPY +0.7% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.3%