The call FLAT
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 14:27 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
direction—
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade26%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Hoisington, US Bond Bull for Decades, Turns Decidedly Bearish
- Jim Cramer says AI bubble fears miss the market’s real risk
- House Speaker Mike Johnson’s $95B budget plan faces Republican pushback, and crypto markets should pay attention
Wrong — QQQ +1.3% vs SPY -0.0% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.3%