The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 13:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms SPY or trades flat relative to it over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Big Tech Firms Like Oracle Turn to Bonds to Finance A.I. Data Centers
- Stocks Sink on Anxiety About Tech and A.I. Spending
- Kimi K3: Open Frontier Intelligence