The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 05:26 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM equals or outperforms SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Nickel Hits Three-Week High on Indonesia Supply Risks, Fed View
- China’s Household Power Use Sees Rare Dip on Cooler June
- U.S. slaps 25% tariff on most Brazilian goods over 'unfair trade practices'