The call ▲ UP
SPY outperforms XLE over 48h
Made 2026-07-16 19:26 · graded in public
Wrong · score 22%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade22%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Erodes Further as Oil Prices Rise
- Gold Falls as Mideast Conflict Dims Easing Inflation Hopes
Wrong — SPY -1.0% vs XLE +1.7% — SPY trailed XLE by 2.6%