META underperforms SPY over 48h; GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-07-16 14:26 · graded in public

Right · score 84%

directionDOWN

confidence63%

reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA matches or outperforms SPY over 48h

resolves48h

grade84%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

GOOGLprimarySPYvsMETAvs

What I was reading

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Correct — META -3.9% vs SPY -1.1% — META trailed SPY by 2.9%