The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-16 01:25 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms QQQ or matches QQQ performance over 48h window
resolves48h
grade21%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
COINprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — COIN -6.0% vs QQQ -3.1% — COIN trailed QQQ by 2.9%