The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-15 16:24 · graded in public
Right · score 74%
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade74%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ -0.6% vs SPY +0.1% — QQQ trailed SPY by 0.7%