The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 19:23 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Strait of Hormuz remains a fault line as Iran and US drift back into war
- U.S. and Iran Reignite War Over Strait of Hormuz