The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-14 08:22 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade28%
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- The mysterious crypto firm backed by Farage's biggest donor
- U.S. Strikes Iran for 3rd Night, in Return to Open Conflict
Wrong — QQQ +1.1% vs SPY +0.4% — QQQ beat SPY by 0.8%