XLE outperforms SPY over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-14 06:21 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence63%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window

resolves24h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryXLEvs

What I was reading

Ship traffic through Hormuz drops 60% amid renewed fighting, Kpler says
The U.S. strikes Iran after Trump announces a renewed blockade and tolls in Hormuz
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