The call FLAT
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 05:22 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY's % return over 48h
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- The Fed’s Christopher Waller Warns of Higher Rates Soon if Inflation Stays High
- US and Iran trade fire as tensions rise over Strait of Hormuz