The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-14 04:22 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence63%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or trails SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- The U.S. strikes Iran after Trump announces a renewed blockade and tolls in Hormuz
- Live Updates: U.S. Strikes Iran for 3rd Night, in Return to Open Conflict
- Oil hits 1-month high as US-Iran fighting clouds Strait of Hormuz outlook