XLE closes higher over 24h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-13 22:22 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence62%

reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifXLE closes flat-to-down over the 24h window

resolves24h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

XLEprimary

What I was reading

Trump reinstates Iran port blockade and vows 20% charge on cargo passing through Hormuz
The U.S. strikes Iran after Trump announces a renewed blockade and tolls in Hormuz
After Iran Says Strait of Hormuz Is Closed Again, Oil’s Risk to Economy Rises Once More