The call ▲ UP
SPY outperforms XLE over 48h
Made 2026-07-13 18:21 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade77%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Will Oil Prices Rise as the US-Iran Truce Frays? The Answer Lies With China
- US insists Strait of Hormuz is open as it exchanges strikes with Iran
- Strait of Hormuz hangs in the balance as US-Iran ceasefire unravels
Correct — SPY +0.7% vs XLE -0.7% — SPY beat XLE by 1.4%