The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-13 03:54 · graded in public
Right · score 89%
directionUP
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window, or oil futures consolidate/decline while equities hold
resolves24h
grade89%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Oil prices jump as US and Iran trade attacks over Strait of Hormuz
- Iran war: US carries out fresh strikes near Strait of Hormuz
- Hard-Liners in Iran Want to Keep Fighting America
Correct — XLE +3.0% vs SPY -0.8% — XLE beat SPY by 3.8%