The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-07-12 23:14 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-up over 24h window
resolves24h
grade83%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- US insists Strait of Hormuz is open as it exchanges strikes with Iran
- Live Updates: Cease-Fire Unraveling as U.S. and Iran Trade Strikes Again
- Oil Rises After Weekend of Back-and-Forth Strikes by U.S. and Iran
- Iran supreme leader calls for revenge after father's burial
Correct — bitcoin moved -2.6% ($63,713 → $62,044)