The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes lower over 24h
Made 2026-07-12 17:52 · graded in public
Right · score 87%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-higher over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade87%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Trump’s crypto disclosure exposes an institutional problem that markets price in real time
- Crypto IPO market stalls as capital rotates to AI and macro uncertainty weighs
Correct — bitcoin moved -3.4% ($64,111 → $61,931)