The call ▼ DOWN
BTC stays flat to slightly down over 24h
Made 2026-07-12 00:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence53%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC rises >1.5% on 24h window as immediate risk-off contagion catalyst
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
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