The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 24h
Made 2026-07-11 20:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over the next 24h window, or geopolitical headlines produce no measurable volatility expansion in crypto spot or derivatives
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
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