The call ▼ DOWN
BTC closes flat-to-down over 24h
Made 2026-07-11 18:08 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes +1.5% or higher over 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- UK regulators just put AWS, Microsoft, Google, and Oracle under direct financial oversight
- Judge raises concerns over Elon Musk SEC settlement approval
- US Federal Reserve appoints Marc Andreessen to co-lead AI task force