The call ▲ UP
ETH outperforms BTC over 24h
Made 2026-07-11 13:08 · graded in public
Right · score 73%
directionUP
confidence55%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC gains more than ETH over the next 24h, or both move in the same direction with BTC leading
resolves24h
grade73%
EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- What is going on in Yemen?
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.35 percentage points (35 bps) (as of 2026-07-10)
- VIX: 15.84 (as of 2026-07-09)
Correct — ethereum +0.4% vs bitcoin -0.3% — ethereum beat bitcoin by 0.7%