ETH outperforms BTC over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-11 05:07 · graded in public

Right · score 77%

directionUP

confidence56%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifETH underperforms or matches BTC relative performance over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade77%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

EthereumprimaryBitcoinvs

What I was reading

DeFi may be ‘quietly re-rating’ given outperformance against Bitcoin: Bitwise
Fed appoints Marc Andreessen to productivity and jobs panel under new chair Kevin Warsh
US wants Iran to pledge to stop shooting at ships in Strait of Hormuz

Correct — ethereum -0.8% vs bitcoin -2.1% — ethereum beat bitcoin by 1.3%