The call ▲ UP
BTC closes higher over 24h
Made 2026-07-11 00:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes flat-to-down over the next 24h window despite Hormuz headline
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading