The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 13:07 · graded in public
Right · score 89%
directionUP
confidence60%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the next 48h
resolves48h
grade89%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Huge crowds in Mashhad as Iran's late supreme leader is buried
- Qatar Pauses Push to Ramp Up LNG After Hormuz Tanker Attack
- HY Credit Spread: 2.70 percentage points (270 bps) (as of 2026-07-08)
Correct — XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.3% — XLE beat SPY by 3.8%