The call ▲ UP
MSFT outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 12:07 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade80%
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Stranded Oil Ships Clear Out of Gulf as Owners Get Wary Again
- Chinese Officials Gauge US Truce, Elections in Low-Key Meetings
- Oman opposes transit fees in Strait of Hormuz, splitting from Iran on oil shipping chokepoint
Correct — MSFT +1.7% vs SPY -0.3% — MSFT beat SPY by 2.1%