The call ▲ UP
GOOGL outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 06:58 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL underperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
grade26%
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
What I was reading
- 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.23% (as of 2026-07-09)
- SOFR: 3.58% (as of 2026-07-08)
- Iran War Updates: U.S. and Iran Sink Into Violent Cycle After Latest Strikes
- Renewed Fighting With Iran Shows Cracks in Peace-Trade Rally
Wrong — GOOGL -1.8% vs SPY -0.3% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 1.4%