The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms IWM over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 06:58 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches IWM over 48h window
resolves48h
grade78%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +0.4% vs IWM -1.3% — NVDA beat IWM by 1.6%