The call ▲ UP
QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 04:57 · graded in public
Wrong · score 26%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade26%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Wrong — QQQ -1.6% vs SPY -0.3% — QQQ trailed SPY by 1.3%