The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 20:17 · graded in public
Right · score 76%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ outperforms or matches SPY cumulatively over 48h
resolves48h
grade76%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ -1.6% vs SPY -0.3% — QQQ trailed SPY by 1.3%