The call ▲ UP
COIN outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 20:09 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifCOIN underperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
COINprimarySPYvs
What I was reading