The call ▼ DOWN
QQQ underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 19:09 · graded in public
Right · score 77%
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ matches or outperforms SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade77%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
Correct — QQQ -1.5% vs SPY -0.2% — QQQ trailed SPY by 1.3%