The call FLAT
QQQ flat to higher over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 12:08 · graded in public
Wrong · score 24%
directionFLAT
confidence56%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes down more than -0.8% over 48h, signaling risk-off rotation
resolves48h
grade24%
QQQprimary
What I was reading
- Renewed Fighting With Iran Shows Cracks in Peace-Trade Rally
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.35 percentage points (35 bps) (as of 2026-07-08)
- VIX: 16.13 (as of 2026-07-07)
Wrong — QQQ moved +2.0% ($711 → $726)