The call ▲ UP
META outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 12:08 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or flat-vs-SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
METAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — META +11.0% vs SPY +1.3% — META beat SPY by 9.7%