The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-09 11:08 · graded in public
Right · score 81%
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE meets or outperforms SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade81%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Sink Into Violent Cycle After Latest Strikes
- Oil Prices Remain Elevated Amid Shipping Traffic Slowdown in Strait of Hormuz
Correct — XLE -1.4% vs SPY +0.8% (spread -2.2%)