META outperforms QQQ over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-09 03:08 · graded in public

Right · score 100%

directionUP

confidence60%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifMETA underperforms QQQ or returns within 0.5% of QQQ over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade100%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

METAprimaryQQQvs

What I was reading

China Resumes Soybean Purchases as Trade Thaw Continues
At Warsh’s First Fed Meeting, Some Officials Signaled Support for Raising Interest Rates

Correct — META +11.0% vs QQQ +2.0% — META beat QQQ by 9.0%