The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-08 17:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence66%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms or matches QQQ over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- Microsoft Replaces OpenAI, Anthropic With Own AI in Some Apps
- Behind Xbox’s Big Layoffs, a Streaming Strategy That Failed