The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-08 12:06 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionUP
confidence61%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY over 24h
resolves24h
grade78%
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- VIX: 15.57 (as of 2026-07-06)
- NVDA — Insider Trade: NVIDIA CORP filed 4 on 2026-07-06 (FORM 4) — SEC FORM 4 SEC Form 4 FORM 4 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington…
Correct — NVDA +1.8% vs SPY +0.1% — NVDA beat SPY by 1.7% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Wrong 0.25]