The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-08 10:06 · graded in public
Wrong · score 25%
directionUP
confidence70%
reasoning90% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches QQQ over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade25%
XLEprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Why have US-Iran strikes resumed and what does it mean for peace?
- At NATO summit in Turkey, Trump says he believes ceasefire with Iran is 'over'
- Oil Prices Jump After U.S. and Iran Trade Strikes in Persian Gulf
Wrong — XLE +0.3% vs QQQ +2.0% — XLE trailed QQQ by 1.6% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Correct 0.78]