The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-08 05:06 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
directionUP
confidence67%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
grade80%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- US and Iran trade strikes after tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz
- Oil Prices Jump After Renewed Strikes in Gulf Put Shipping Recovery at Risk
Correct — XLE +1.8% vs SPY -0.3% — XLE beat SPY by 2.1% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Wrong 0.24]