QQQ outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-08 03:06 · graded in public

Right · score 77%

directionUP

confidence65%

reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifQQQ underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade77%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryQQQvs

What I was reading

SpaceX joins the Nasdaq 100, clearing way for potential investment influx. Here's what to know
US launches strikes on Iran after tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz

Correct — QQQ +2.0% vs SPY +0.5% — QQQ beat SPY by 1.4% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Wrong 0.26]