The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 16:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence63%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading