The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-07 16:05 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence63%
reasoning80% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA outperforms or matches SPY over the 24h window
resolves24h
gradeopen
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- DeepSeek Developing In-House AI Chip In Bid To Cut Nvidia Reliance